Recent post from David SirotaMy two thoughts on this are:
‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ 

Click here to read this mailing online.

Your email updates, powered by FeedBlitz

 
Here is a sample subscription for you. Click here to start your FREE subscription


"Ed Notes Online" - 5 new articles

  1. Will UFT Endorse Mamdani after their attacks on DSA? Will that be his kiss of death? Would Cuomo/Adams Odds Rise?
  2. Retirees Turn out for rally and press conf for Medicare on very hot day
  3. THIS IS YOUR VICTORY! LETS GET TOGETHER!!! Rally Today at City Hall Park at 11AM - UPDATED
  4. Jeff Kaufman on Bentkowski: A Betrayal of Public Trust: Why New York's Retirees Will Ultimately Prevail
  5. UFT Election 25 Dissection: ABC Broke New Ground, Just Not Enough to Win, While ARISE Dived
  6. More Recent Articles

Will UFT Endorse Mamdani after their attacks on DSA? Will that be his kiss of death? Would Cuomo/Adams Odds Rise?

Recent post from David Sirota
My two thoughts on this are: 1) If every Dem would talk like this, the party might be a real opposition 2) It's shameful that some Dems have been more focused on using their platforms to demonize/undermine this guy than on fighting Trump pic.x.com/QqhPxnaZuU
 
Recent post from Ryan Grim
Stepping back, it's really wild that Hakeem Jeffries, Chuck Schumer, Dan Goldman, Kirsten Gillibrand, etc., still won't endorse the landslide winner of the Democratic nomination for NYC mayor. It's not unbelievable, exactly, but it's legit crazy. And then they wonder why

Thursday, July 3, 2025

 
This news is more than shocking. After engaging in a massive attack on DSA, claiming they had a plan to infiltrate the union and tying in the heavily DSA MORE, to endorse a DSA member for mayor might make you blink in disbelief. 
 
There's more than a little irony if the UFT endorses Mamdani, who has faced some of the  same attacks over his position on Palestine and fake charges of antisemitism that ABC Pres Candidate Amy Arundell faced with many of these attacks coming from union officials and Unity Caucus hacks. Oooh the eggs on the faces of the main attackers. But don't expect them to be fired, as Amy was. 
 
Personally, I'm for Mamdani - no matter what his stand on the Medicare issue, his fundamental philosophy is pro-labor and anti-privatization - and he's one impressive political talent. I will go into some details of his campaign which is fundamentally non-ideological and more bread and butter, no matter how people try to distort - like free buses, where half the people don't pay anyway and better childcare is so radical. Even his response on intifada is interesting, as Ryan Grim explains when he compares the calls to denounce him as equivalent to cancel culture from the left:
"At the very end of this rant, Gillibrand argues that it doesn’t matter what the term intifada actually means, what matters is how people receive it, and she says that black, Hispanic, and LGBTQ people have similarly offensive words that must never be said and the same standard applies here. So if you’re on the right and spent a decade denouncing this sort of thing, how is it that you are now embracing it and on Team Gillibrand?" .... 
But my sense of democracy is challenged by a top-down endorsement process. If the DA was really open and not rushed we would get a snapshot of where membership stands - but I would go further.
 
I have reservations about a UFT endorsement without checking the pulse of the membership. Coming from the top as it usually does actually is harmful as proven in previous elections where the massive UFT membership does not seem to go along - witness the constant failures if mayoral endorsements. My sense is this is a move to jump on the bandwagon of the leading candidate, which actually may doom Mamdani, given the UFT track record. A UFT endorsement will automatically elevate the chances of Adams and or Cuomo.
 
 
There is a big push, naturally, coming from the left in the UFT, with a petition going around. So why am I bothered by that? It amounts to the same push from the top concept when the UFT leadership pushes its own interests over where the members might stand. I've been annoyed even when I agree with my left comrades on the way they push their agenda on members. Sure push your personal ideas - you have a right. But if you are trying to organize people, well how about seeing where they are at? That is precisely what Mamdani has done, as he went to Trump supporters. One surprising result in the election was how many Trump voters went for him -- the sort of Bernie/Trump concept we saw --- see NYT today:  
Shocking that he actually talked to Trump voters -- something the ARISE crowd attacked ABC for. In fact I see a lot of similarities between the two campaigns - except we didn't win, of course. He reached out to new voters and so did ABC - he was more successful. He had 40k volunteers and I saw ABC with more volunteers in this campaign than I'd seen in the past - and the vote totals indicated that. Both campaigns get credit for their social media. But more on this comparison in the future.
 
Member driven means member driven even if the members on the whole don't agree with you. So though I would hope a clear majority of UFT members would support Mamdani, especially given the Adams/Cuomo/Sliwa alternatives, I would like to see where the actual pulse of the membership lies at this point. 
 
The problem with pushing endorsements down the throat of members is that they alienate people unless there is a clear mandate. I think there is a strong case to be made for Mamdani but only if people get a chance to debate. Let's air the claims of anti-semitism and respond. Invite him to a meeting - invite them all.
 
If you really want to mobilize the membership in a campaign, win the bulk over and that takes work beyond calling an emergency summer meeting of the DA where a small minority of members will decide. 

But one interesting story will emerge. The so-called left of the UFT, the ARISE crowd, will be overwhelmingly in favor and with UFT leadership backing Mamdani, we could expect overwhelming support at the DA. As for the 200k UFT membership? I'm not so sure. It weakens the union of there is a wide gap.
 
Thus, while I'm not speaking for ABC, and I think many ABCers do support Mamdani, I think there might be a sentiment to go through a more serious process in the UFT as a way to build support. At least a serious poll or a referendum -- like how about using electronic voting to do one? Oh, the Unity gang is allergic. 
 
 
           

Retirees Turn out for rally and press conf for Medicare on very hot day

I stood proudly with the NYC retirees today alongside their incredible leader Marianne Pizzitola to celebrate a hard-fought victory as the city decided not to move forward with Medicare Advantage. As a retiree myself, I know how devastating it would have been to lose traditional Medicare. This was a reckless move that never should have been considered. Today we celebrate, but our work isn’t done. Let’s pass Intro 1096 and make sure no mayor ever has the power to pull the rug out from under those who gave their lives in service to this city.--- Retired City Council Bob Holden 
 
 
I attended the exciting rally in City Hall Park on Monday and was joined by a big crowd of retirees despite the heat. The theme was don't trust Adams on his declaration he is abandoning MedAdv and pass local and state legislation. Our hero politician has been City Council rep Christopher Marti who won re-election last night. He was the master of ceremonies. 
 
Marianne was the star as she so often is. It seems every local and many statewide politicians are in her phone book as they realize the power of the electoral machine she has built. 

Also given recognition was the local CROC - a Cross Union group that came into existence early in the battle. Marti gave them particular recognition. Relations between CROC and Marianne's NYC Retirees have not always been smooth but Monday peace seemed to reign. 
 
Arthur wrote:

No one from Unity bothered to stand with retirees outside in the sweltering 96 degree heat. Who showed up? There were a few people from CROC, a few of us from ABC, and a whole lot of retirees from various city unions.

Over the last few months, I’ve heard a lot about the RTC Labor Solidarity Project. They do worthwhile things. They show up when other unions go on strike or have issues. I get newsletters saying they went here and there and did this and that. Furthermore, they’ve influenced UFT at large to establish a similar org, and they’re very proud of that.

Well, neither group showed up today. I’m sure there are good reasons. One person suggested that’s not what the group is for. Okay then, but if we can support other unions, why can’t we support ourselves? That brings up a few more questions—First, weren’t we elected specifically to battle for retiree health care? Also, didn’t we overwhelmingly pass a resolution to support 1096?

 
It was noticeable that the Retired Teacher Chapter Labor Organizing group that has done so much good work supporting unions and rallies did not show up. Neither did Unity or any union official, who had spent so much time attacking Marianne. (Arthur's full article chronicles that below. I must point out that a prominent member of the ARISE steering committee and co-chair of one of the caucuses joined Unity in those attacks. Some say that should be water under the bridge. Not to me. 
 
Curtis Sliwa was there: https://x.com/curtissliwa/status/1937250163149435110?s=46&t=JCp9piYEUnv12IcctFNJaw. Unlike some of my friends I don't consider him a

deplorable and enjoyed chatting with him. He might even pull off a win in the general election if the Dems split the vote -- watch the assault coming on Mamdani. Curtis can't be all bad - he has 15 cats. 

Retired city councilman Robert Holden too: 

@BobHoldenNYC
Image
Image
Image








 

 

Arthur reported at Union Matters:

On the Hottest Day of the Year, We Stand for 1096: Politicians stand with us. Our union? Not so much.

 

           

THIS IS YOUR VICTORY! LETS GET TOGETHER!!! Rally Today at City Hall Park at 11AM - UPDATED

I usually don't do rallies, especially when I have to leave the beach on 100 degree days to go into the city but I'm doing so today. Will the Unity/UFT gang that attacks Marianne be there? Will retirees from ARISE who also attack Marianne be there? I'll get more into these attacks when I get a chance. Hey, ya think the election has anything to do with Mayor Adams reversal? And btw- I'm ignoring the single issue push for supporting a candidate and the crit of Mandami by the Marianne crew for his not openly endorsing our battle. Fact is as a Dem Soc (as I am - sort of), medicare for as many as possible is a basic ask.

I voted 1 for Lander and 2 for Mandami - figuring when Lander drops out Mandami gets his votes. Look at who is attacking Mandami to see our enemies. Cuomo would sell us out in a minute.

My big question: should I drink water or beer? I will post some pics later.

Norm 


 
Rally Monday, June 23rd, 11 am City Hall Park. It is going to be HOT!
Bring water, your stool seat we gave you at the Occupy DC37 event and dress COOL!!! Bring an umbrella if you need to shade yourself from the sun. 
 
THIS IS YOUR VICTORY! LETS GET TOGETHER!!!
YouTube:
FaceBook:
Subject: MAYOR ADAMS’ STATEMENT ON FUTURE OF MEDICARE ADVANTAGE
 
 

We are beyond fortunate that, somewhere in Georgia, NYC retiree Marianne Pizzitola woke up one morning and decided that demeaning our health care was unacceptable. She organized NYC Retirees out of thin air, and built it into a force that no one can ignore. If Mulgrew had his way, every retiree in the city would be in an inferior Medicare Advantage Plan right this moment, and would have been for the last four years.

That is the only reason that Unity ducklings attack her so relentlessly. She showed that King Mulgrew had no clothes. It was pretty goshdarn embarrassing for Unity. In fact, her inconvenient truth-telling led to Unity losing the Retired Teacher Chapter (RTC) for the first time ever.

Unity’s still trying to live that down. Unity treated Marianne like a pariah when she came to an RTC meeting. One of Unity’s tactical geniuses advised insulting her, and us, with “whatever drivel you can come up with.” Nothing has changed. Rather than defend their miserable, humiliating record of failure after failure, they attack her.  

A somewhat more sophisticated Unity voice (who attacks Marianne nonetheless) has repeatedly taken the position that we ought to stop focusing on this and look at what Trump is doing in Washington. I’d argue he’s half right. We certainly can’t ignore national politics. I don’t. However, we are not going to achieve Medicare for All in the next three years. And I’m sorry, NYHA fans, but that’s not passing any time in the very near future either.

That "sophisticated" voice is Leo Casey, who I predict will toss his beret in the ring to lead the Unity charge to take back the RTC by running for CL -- the next Tom Murphy.

 

 
           

Jeff Kaufman on Bentkowski: A Betrayal of Public Trust: Why New York's Retirees Will Ultimately Prevail

Jeff, a former lawyer, lays out a path to victory.
 
Thursday, June 19 
 
A Betrayal of Public Trust: Why New York's Retirees Will Ultimately Prevail
 
The New York Court of Appeals' decision in Bentkowski v. City of New York represents a troubling abdication of judicial responsibility that prioritizes municipal budget constraints over the fundamental promise of good faith that binds employer to employee. While the Court's narrow focus on the technicalities of "clear and unambiguous promises" may have temporarily shielded the City from accountability on promissory estoppel grounds, the decision leaves intact multiple powerful causes of action that virtually guarantee the retirees will ultimately prevail when the case returns to the trial court.
The Court of Appeals committed a fundamental error by applying an artificially restrictive interpretation of what constitutes a "clear and unambiguous promise." The Court dismissed decades of consistent representations in Summary Program Descriptions (SPDs) as merely "descriptive and for informational purposes only," ignoring the basic principle that contractual obligations can arise from a course of conduct and reasonable reliance, not just from formal written agreements.
The Court's parsing of verb tenses—focusing on present tense language like "becomes eligible," "is provided," and "supplements"—represents a triumph of form over substance that would make even the most pedantic grammarian blush. When the City tells employees year after year that Medicare "provides" first-level benefits and the City's program "provides" second-level benefits to "fill certain gaps in Medicare coverage," any reasonable person would understand this as a commitment to continue that structure.
Most egregiously, the Court dismissed the phrase "and thereafter" as referring only to Medicare eligibility timing, not future benefits. This interpretation is not just wrong—it's absurd. The plain language clearly indicates that City benefits would continue "thereafter" once Medicare eligibility begins. To read it otherwise requires willful blindness to the obvious meaning.
Despite the Court's rejection of the promissory estoppel claim, the remand to the trial court preserves numerous causes of action that provide clear pathways to victory. Each represents a distinct legal theory capable of delivering complete relief to the retirees.
The Second Cause of Action under the Retiree Health Insurance Moratorium Act provides a compelling path to victory. This statute explicitly prohibits reducing teacher retiree benefits unless active employees face corresponding reductions. The facts demonstrate a clear violation: the City's contributions dropped from $191.57 per month to $15-22.50 per month for retirees while active employees retained their plan choices and superior coverage. The law was specifically designed to protect retirees who lack collective bargaining power, making this differential treatment precisely what the legislature sought to prevent.
The Ninth Cause of Action under the NYC Administrative Procedure Act (CAPA) addresses the City's deliberate circumvention of required rulemaking procedures. The healthcare policy change constitutes rulemaking that affects a quarter-million retirees and creates binding standards of general applicability. The City's failure to provide public notice and comment procedures violated the procedural rights of every affected retiree and represents a fundamental breach of administrative law that courts cannot overlook.
The Sixth and Seventh Causes of Action under both NYC and New York State Human Rights Laws present powerful discrimination claims. The policy creates a disparate impact on disabled retirees under 65 who are Medicare-eligible due to disability. While non-disabled under-65 retirees keep their existing coverage options, disabled retirees are forced into inferior Medicare Advantage plans. This class-based discrimination against people with disabilities—those most needing healthcare access—violates fundamental civil rights protections and cannot be justified by mere cost savings.
Life-Threatening Consequences Demand Judicial Intervention
The Third Cause of Action challenging the dangerous disruption of life-saving treatment presents compelling grounds for immediate relief. Retirees with cancer and other serious conditions face the impossible choice between continuity of care and financial ruin. Many cannot obtain supplemental coverage due to pre-existing conditions, while others face underwriting barriers that make coverage unaffordable. The policy's arbitrary implementation, without consideration of individual medical circumstances, fails even the most basic rational basis review given its life-threatening impact on vulnerable populations.
The Fourth Cause of Action addresses the City's failure to provide adequate information for such a momentous decision. Major healthcare decisions require accurate, complete information as a matter of procedural due process. The City made material misrepresentations, falsely assuring retirees their doctors would accept the new plan. Many retirees never received comprehensive information packages, while the deliberately complex opt-out process proved especially burdensome for elderly participants. Given the irreversible nature of this one-time decision with permanent consequences, the lack of full disclosure constitutes a fundamental due process violation.
The Eighth Cause of Action for unjust enrichment recognizes that healthcare benefits represent earned deferred compensation, not gratuitous benefits. Mayor Adams himself called this policy a "bait and switch" before taking office, acknowledging its unconscionable nature. The City will reap hundreds of millions in annual savings while benefiting from federal Medicare Advantage subsidies, all while shifting costs to vulnerable retirees after decades of faithful service. Good conscience demands restitution of these ill-gotten savings.
The Eleventh Cause of Action under the Donnelly Act addresses the City's creation of an unlawful monopoly through its exclusive Aetna contract. The City bypassed competitive bidding processes, eliminating competition among insurers and depriving retirees of choice and competitive pricing benefits. Ironically, Aetna previously made similar antitrust arguments against another City plan, demonstrating the anticompetitive nature of such arrangements.
The Tenth Cause of Action recognizes the City's special relationship with its retirees and the fiduciary duty to provide accurate healthcare information. The City's material misstatements about provider acceptance and plan benefits, combined with false assurances about the opt-out process, created reasonable reliance that continues to cause harm. The City knew retirees would rely on these statements for enrollment decisions, making the negligent provision of false information particularly egregious.
Beyond the legal technicalities lies a fundamental question of fairness and public policy. The City of New York recruited employees for decades with the explicit promise of comprehensive health benefits in retirement. These employees—teachers, firefighters, police officers, and countless other public servants—accepted lower wages than they could have earned in the private sector based on the understanding that their retirement security was guaranteed.
Many of these retirees are now in their 70s and 80s, having planned their retirement finances around the expectation of Medicare supplemental coverage. Some have relocated to states where they cannot obtain supplemental coverage due to pre-existing conditions. Others lack the financial resources to purchase private coverage. The City's decision to abandon these vulnerable retirees represents a breathtaking betrayal of the social compact that binds government to its workers.
The Court of Appeals' decision should be understood as a temporary setback rather than a definitive defeat. While the Court's analysis of promissory estoppel was problematic, it leaves intact multiple independent causes of action, each capable of providing complete relief. The trial court's previous sympathy for the retirees' position, combined with the opportunity for more complete factual development, creates a favorable environment for ultimate success.
The remaining causes of action span constitutional law, statutory violations, civil rights protections, antitrust law, and fundamental due process rights. The City cannot simultaneously violate the state constitution, ignore statutory protections, discriminate against disabled individuals, endanger lives, deny due process, engage in antitrust violations, and commit unjust enrichment while expecting judicial protection.
Perhaps most importantly, the moral force of the retirees' position remains undiminished. They kept their part of the bargain, serving the City faithfully for decades in exchange for promised retirement security. The City's attempt to renege on that promise while hiding behind legal technicalities represents exactly the kind of conduct that courts exist to remedy.
When this case returns to the trial court, it will do so with a powerful arsenal of legal theories that survived appellate review. The constitutional claims alone provide sufficient grounds for complete victory, while the statutory violations, civil rights protections, and due process claims offer multiple alternative paths to the same destination.
The trial court proceedings will allow for complete factual development, revealing the full scope of the City's representations and the devastating impact on vulnerable retirees. This expanded record will only strengthen the retirees' position and highlight the unconscionable nature of the City's conduct.
Justice delayed is not justice denied. When this case concludes—as it inevitably will—with vindication for New York's retired public servants, the Court of Appeals' decision will be remembered as a regrettable detour rather than a final destination. The multiple causes of action that remain provide not just hope, but virtual certainty that these retirees will ultimately prevail.
The City of New York made a promise. The remaining legal theories ensure it will be forced to keep it.
 
           

UFT Election 25 Dissection: ABC Broke New Ground, Just Not Enough to Win, While ARISE Dived

With indications that ABC will continue to function, I'm writing this analysis as a warning sign for the future of oppo in the UFT as I can foresee the divisions not going away and a similar two slate situation emerging again. I am making the case that only an ABC-like strategy and organization - or dis-organization of individuals can beat Unity. (On Thursday, June 19th, ICEUFT will meet in person to take a deep dive into the issues raised here.) 
That doesn't mean legacy caucuses go away and continue to do the work they do on social justice and other issues, but release their people to run with an ABC-like group while supporting the effort. Knowing the caucus-first mentality, don't expect this to happen on an organizational level, but I appeal to the individuals in the caucuses to think this through. 
 
ARISE spent thousands of dollars on campaign and a glossy flier (almost a work of art) and raced to hundreds of schools to stuff mail boxes, while ABC spend a minimal amount and focused on its people getting out the vote in their schools. 
 
If you are looking for the difference in outcomes, look at these numbers: 
 
ABC ran 560 candidates, 520 of them in the schools (about 40 retirees) while ARISE, despite bragging of the largest number of candidates in decades, had only 490 or so, with 140 retirees, a difference of about 150 in school people. Back in the fall when people were calling for both slates to unite, at least one ARISE steering committee member mocked ABC as being only 7 people and claiming ABC could not get a slate together and would have to come begging. That led to a mentality within ARISE that ABC would fail. 
Monday June 16, 2025 
 
I received a post-election call from a long-time major oppo left-leaning activist from years ago, who did not run in the election, praising ABC on the outcome of the election  - a group of individuals came together - people who had never worked with each other in the past - to win almost 18k and 32% of the votes - the largest oppo vote total in history despite another slate running. He was impressed. 
 

Another left-leaning non-candidate activist also was surprised at the 32% outcome. We had argued throughout the campaign over my contention ABC had a chance to win -- my odds were 10%. His were 1%. My position that ABC could win even with two slates, which was much mocked, while not proven, showed that it was possible. What I never considered was how poorly the legacy caucuses would do - and I even include Unity, given their 54%.
 
Losing by 22 points to Unity still put ABC closer to beating Unity than any oppo I can remember. During the campaign, Unity focused its attacks on ABC and some ARISE leaders from NAC and RA spent more time attacking ABC than Unity, and receiving much praise from Unity people for doing so. This is not to taint all of ARISE, most of whom, especially those in MORE, mostly refrained from attacks. I detected a sense of growing respect, despite differences, between some ABC and MORE people. From the beginning last summer, ABC was open to individuals from MORE running with ABC and some did and played an important role.
 
I've seen some comments from ARISE people talking about the two oppo groups lost to Unity, as if both outcomes were equivalent, thus burying the lead. ABC finished 22% points behind Unity while the ARISE legacy caucuses, despite decades of so-called organizing, finished 40% points behind Unity. 
 
A flip of 11% points between ABC and Unity would have put ABC in a tie with Unity. As people are already looking to 2028, keep this in mind. But don't expect the legacy caucuses to learn a lesson and some in NAC and RA, not willing to face the truth, attribute the difference to dirty tactics or social media or shady practices.
 
Back in December when everyone was going nuts over two slates running against Unity I put forth reasons I thought ABC had a chance of winning: UFT Elections: The Two Slate Solution - Keep Calm. Here were a few key takeaways then (in red) and my current response:
  • I've maintained the only way to win this election with the prospects of building dynamic change into the UFT is by enlisting large numbers of working UFTers. Do not rely on retirees to win and dominate a fossilized union (yes I am one of these fossils.) The current configuration of the legacy caucuses unfortunately leads us in this direction.

There was an increase in turnout of 15% up to 28%. ABC needed closer to 33% turnout. For an upstart non-caucus based group, we did not get deep enough but showed a path to victory even with two oppos -- and even if we had run common candidates we would have lost in every area other than the 7 high school seats.

  • The 63% retiree vote that the legacy caucuses are relying to deliver will not hold up for this election. In the 2022 UFT general election retirees won 29% -the same number they did in the 2021 RTC election. In the latter election word was out about the medicare situation - my biggest disappointment in that election was not seeing the retiree vote expand. That we didn't increase the retiree vote from the year before when few knew about the health plan changes. That led to me being pessimistic for the past June election. I was wrong. We ran a great campaign but the difference maker: Marianne. Where will she land in this election and if she doesn't get her people involved the retiree vote will drop significantly. Unity still won over 10k in the 2024 chapter loss. Expect that to hold and grow as Unity supporters may have turned on Tom Murphy as RTC leader but may not be willing to turn over the entire union to what will clearly be labeled a left-wing opposition run by legacy caucuses that they have fought for years. RA did not have a bad rep a year ago.

This prediction came through - Unity clawed back 3k votes to get 13K this time but ABC got 9K and ARISE 3k -- not enough to win the retiree vote but close. Clearly RA failed drastically in dropping from 17K a year ago but ABC getting 3x their total proved the influence of Marianne, something my pals in RA had been downgrading, thinking it was their organizing a year ago.  

  • ABC is the non-ideological, non-sectarian option with people from every caucus, including Unity, so Unity retirees who know the score may go ABC, but not with a slate dominated with MORE candidates.  

Give me a check on this one. MORE has over 500 members. RA counted on its 300 delegates, who had no say in the choice to run with ARISE to come through. NAC has shown little presence in the schools and did not have faith in the possibilities of ABC and felt an alliance with MORE would make a difference. I argued the opposite to them, to no avail. 

  •  The numbers from the UFC full frontal coalition vote in 2022 were not much different from the smaller MORE/NAC coalition in 2016. Why would this election be any different from the in-service vote (Mah Nishtanah), especially since what was UFC is diminished? Given the 2022 vote and reduced caucus coalitions, I maintain Unity would win the election if we were limited to a coalition run similar to UFC, which the legacy caucuses not even reaching the same levels of organizing that UFC, had reached. 

I wrote:

UFC's main success was the increased % for UFC but that was due to Unity drops which did not go to UFC. That dropped Unity vote just might shift into the ABC column due to the Unity presence in ABC.  UFC did not bump up the in-service vote or even the retiree vote in that election.  I contend that with a weakened UFC, these numbers will remain constant for the caucus coalition, with the only wild cards retirees. The only way to win is to go after the 80% who don't usually vote, not an easy task but that looks like the major initiative of ABC and to siphon off Unity votes.

Constant? I was wrong. I actually thought ARISE might get 20-25% and ABC over 30%. And I was wrong about Unity continued drops -- they really brought out their base and increased in every area other than High schools.

I used the 2022 outcome to base a lot of my theories and the numbers for ARISE were worse than they were for UFC, which I also predicted - that ARISE was a diminished UFC which had 7 or 8 components. Nick bragged that the trimmed down to 3 ARISE was so easy to work with. That's very nice and comfortable - for them. The "less is more" theory didn't work in this case. 

  • Oh, but what about the retiree and para votes from last spring? They are not automatic and must be worked for. Fix Para Pay is aligned at this point with ABC. So Don't forget the 27k para potential vote. The in-service para vote, with 27k paras, long ignored by the opposition,  may prove more crucial than the retiree vote if we get turnout. Note: A key organizing strategy is taking direct aim at this vote with a plan to fight for para pay instead of the Unity policy of telling them to be happy they have a job.

So this point sort of worked out with 120 paras running with ABC but we had hoped to do much better despite tripling ARISE and getting 1500 more functional votes than UFC did in 2022. That was due mostly to paras but the Unity push for 10k para bonuses (a smart election ploy, still unrealized) worked and the hoped-for tap into the 27k para vote was only partially successful. ABC also aimed to tap into other functional areas like OT/PT and nurses and probably did. But the Unity campaign worked - compare 2025 to 2022.

 

  • ABC with a drastic new approach to not just running in the election but open to taking the election-building process out from behind closed doors and get more rank and file involved - and it has been working. Sample: 100 showed for a zoom for paras and district 75 on Tuesday, and over 50 for a High School zoom Wednesday, including chapter leaders from large high schools, including some key people from Unity.That followed a general meeting with 260 people. Think each in-service having some kind of network outreach in their schools. ABC is building the broadest coalition and still invites all legacy caucus members and supporters to run on the ABC independent slate with no labels. Already some have signed up to run. Is it enough yet? No. But there's a long way to go before ballots go out in May and petitioning starting Feb. 12. And ABC has the petition king: ME.

Well, I was pleasantly surprised at how relatively easy the petitioning was compared to 2022, with loads of ABC retiree and active people coming out to assist. Even I underestimated the vigor of ABCers. The one snag, if you call it that, was how aggressive ABC people were in recruiting candidates in the final week which forced us to spend the final weekend processing them - every candidate needed wet signature which made things difficult. A delightful snag. If we had another week we would have run a full slate of 750.

  • Almost 40% of Trump supporters in NYS are in a union and many of them in the UFT and also anti-Mulgrew. Many have been non-voters in the past. With an ABC option that is focused on bread and butter and without a leftist ideology reputation, they may vote. Some will say how dare you hope Trump supporters vote for you? How dare I run to win.   
ABC WAS WILLING TO TALK TO ALL UFT MEMBERS AND AVOIDS PURGES AND SHUNNING -  HORRORS!
 
ABC has been vilified for trying to keep communication open to a wide variety of UFT members and focused on what members felt were important in their schools. Some in ARISE bragged about how moral and progressive they were and branded ABC as right wing troglodytes despite the fact that the overwhelming majority of key activists had a long record of progressive politics. 

When you run to win, you have to be willing to listen to everyone and not set up ideological walls -- you know, not call fellow UFT members you disagree with "deplorable."   
 
In recent discussions during the vote count when I asked some of the ARISE people why run if you know you will lose, the response was to "get our ideas and visions out". The thinking is that long-term they can win enough progressives over. I respond that you will have little influence unless you can win and then have the full resources of the UFT to try to win people over in a democratic and transparent process. But running in elections is embedded in the DNA of caucuses and don't be surprised to see it happen again in 2028.
 
Unity bummed at how poorly ARISE did 
The biggest disappointment to Unity was how bad ARISE did as ABC emerged as the big oppo dog. For ABC, it should try to convince the independent minds in ARISE to work with ABC in the next election while also continuing to work with their caucuses which could still use the election process and save their resources to promote their positions. They could still put out a leaflet and flood the mail boxes while not running --- a position I advocated for MORE in my final days there in late 2018 before the 2019 election. That helped get me kicked out of MORE. 

Split in MORE - Results strengthen the "don't run wing"
Back in August/September when MORE was debating whether to run at all, run alone or run in coalition, a strong group of 35 out of 160 who voted (what happened to the 500 MORE members?) were against running in coalition "with people who do not share their values." That says a lot about MORE and the lack of GOTV. In the vote to accept the coalition only 70 MOREs voted. 
 
The pro-coalition group knew full well that NAC had little pull in the schools but did have a large group of retirees who would do the work. NAC believed MORE had the horses in the schools to pull out votes. RA was viewed by both as the big retiree dog and the failure on that end is clear. 
 
I will say that inside ABC, while not wanting to run in an election with a group having the MORE label, the feelings about individuals in MORE have not been negative while there is a lot more people pissed off at NAC and RA. A lot of the ABC crowd are thankful to the people in MORE for informing them of the urinal attack on Amy. I think on the person to person level we may see some cooperation on common issues. 
 
 
NEXT: I will breakdown the elem, ms and hs results. 
 
Future of the Dem Party 
Is Randi moving left? Randi Quits DNC -- 
 
And these articles:
           

More Recent Articles

You Might Like